Sports gambling can be extremely profitable if anyone know the strategies often the “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make income. One of the biggest secrets that smart money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a great example of this. I analyzed typically the Western world Virginia vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Las vegas had this edge in the game. Nevertheless , We also understood that there initially were a good deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not wager on this specific game. Here is my analysis I released just before the game:
West Virginia versus Louisville
This online game offers all the symptoms of being one involving the very best games connected with the year, using equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, each using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. บาคาร่า was a classic, together with Western world Virginia coming rear from getting down massive in the final one fourth to winning in overtime, however,.
So what’s the sport appear like this year?
If this activity were being played with a new neutral field, West Va would certainly probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented move. That they haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they missing to California Tech. Through the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 PATH games.
These kinds of are some very amazing stats that tilt often the scales in favor connected with WVU for tonight’s gaming. Plus, often the included benefit is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This might not seem like very much, but in a shut match-up like this, that extra point can make the distinction between a good push in addition to a loss.
But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s figures are almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their previous 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home video games.
Plus if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since Dec 16, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. some points per game in your own home, while averaging only letting go of 15. 6 points for every game with home. In case you decided not to do the mathematics, that means due to the fact their particular last home damage they have already averaged beating their own opponents simply by about 34 points per game.
Even greater impressive, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten this range, on average, by way of 13 points per online game at home considering that 2003.
Wow… how can you go against that?
Here’s just how…
Most of those stats have been built up during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They also have experienced recent games that has they’ve only scored twenty-eight, 3, 24 points. These activities weren’t against Kentkucky St. or Michigan. They will were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
The bottom line is that this is still the close video game to get in touch with. Yet the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s security to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s not any purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to mid 20’s. My honest recommendation can be to lay off this specific game and certainly not bet at all. There are usually better games this weekend with more simple benefits.
The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back a punt for a TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s fringe weren’t so big which they could still win after doing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this particular video game, people critical about gambling saved money they will can put to better use on forthcoming games.